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TENAX THERAPEUTICS, INC. (TENX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered a smaller loss per share than Wall Street expected: EPS of $0.27 loss beat the S&P Global consensus of $0.45 loss; no revenue was reported, consistent with a development-stage profile . The beat was aided by higher interest income on a larger cash balance .
  • Guidance for LEVEL enrollment was pushed from “around year-end 2025” (Q1) to “first half of 2026,” with topline now expected in 2H 2026; LEVEL-2 initiation in 2025 was reaffirmed .
  • Operating expenses rose sharply YoY (R&D +$3.8M to $6.1M; G&A +$4.3M to $5.7M) driven by clinical execution and non-cash stock-based compensation; net loss widened to $10.9M vs $3.6M YoY .
  • Tenax remains well funded (cash $105.5M) and reiterated a runway through 2027—an important risk mitigant while executing two Phase 3 trials .
  • Stock narrative catalysts: EPS beat, reaffirmed 2025 start of LEVEL-2, and expanded IP protections (Canada allowed claims extending to 2040). Headwind: timeline slip for LEVEL enrollment/topline .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “We remain in a strong position to execute and advance our lead program, TNX-103… Our sites in North America continue recruiting toward the expanded target of 230 patients… we remain on track to initiate our global Phase 3 study, LEVEL-2, this year.” — CEO Chris Giordano .
  • Cash of $105.5M with funding runway through 2027 supports two registrational trials; interest income rose to $0.95M in Q2, cushioning the loss per share vs estimates .
  • Canadian IP office allowed claims covering TNX-103/102/101 and metabolites with protection to 2040, strengthening the asset’s defensibility .

What Went Wrong

  • LEVEL enrollment and topline timelines slipped: completion now 1H 2026 (from “around year-end 2025”) and topline 2H 2026 (from “mid-2026”) .
  • Operating expenses escalated significantly YoY; R&D +$3.8M and G&A +$4.3M, driven by clinical costs and non-cash stock compensation (R&D: $1.0M; G&A: $3.6M) .
  • Net loss widened to $10.9M vs $3.6M YoY as the company scaled clinical operations and expanded the program footprint .

Financial Results

P&L and Balance Metrics (quarterly)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$6.27 $10.41 $10.85
EPS (Basic & Diluted) ($USD)$(0.18) $(0.28) $(0.27)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$4.59 $5.68 $6.12
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$2.70 $5.66 $5.67
Interest Income ($USD Millions)$1.03 $0.93 $0.95
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$94.85 $111.45 $105.46

Notes: Tenax did not report revenue in Q1/Q2; as a development-stage company, the statements focus on operating expenses and other income.

Q2 2025 vs Estimates

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
EPS ($USD)$(0.4475)*$(0.27) +$0.18 — bold beat
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00*Not reported (development-stage)N/A

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Year-over-Year and Quarter-over-Quarter Highlights

  • R&D: $6.1M in Q2 2025 vs $2.3M in Q2 2024 (+$3.8M YoY) ; vs Q1 2025 $5.7M (+$0.4M QoQ) .
  • G&A: $5.7M vs $1.3M YoY (+$4.3M), reflecting $3.6M non-cash stock comp; QoQ essentially flat .
  • EPS: $(0.27) vs $(1.83) YoY (improvement driven by share count and interest income) ; vs $(0.28) QoQ (slight improvement) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 2025)Current Guidance (Q2 2025)Change
LEVEL Enrollment Completion230 patientsAround YE 2025 1H 2026 Lowered (timeline pushed)
LEVEL Topline ReadoutEfficacyMid-2026 2H 2026 Lowered (later half)
LEVEL-2 InitiationGlobal Phase 32025 2025 (on track) Maintained
Funding RunwayOperationsFunded through 2027 Funded through 2027 Maintained
IP Protection (Canada)Patent termN/AClaims allowed; protection to 2040 New positive

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available; we used management’s Q2 press release and the Cantor Global Healthcare Conference fireside chat on September 4, 2025 for current-period commentary.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024; Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
R&D execution (LEVEL)Phase 3 LEVEL expansion to boost power; YE 2025 enrollment target Enrollment ongoing; target raised to 230; completion 1H 2026; OLE participation high Progressing but timeline slipped
Regulatory pathwayFDA reviewed updated Phase 3 plan; LEVEL-2 protocol set LEVEL-2 protocol finalized; global footprint; >85 sites qualified Advancing globally
Funding & cash$94.9M YE cash; +$25M private placement; runway through 2027 $105.5M cash; runway through 2027 reaffirmed Stable runway
Clinical design (endpoints & power)6MWD primary endpoint; blinded sample size reassessment planned 6MWD at 12 weeks (LEVEL) and 26 weeks (LEVEL-2); >90% power assumption; blinded SD check at ~150 completes Confirmed plan
IP & defensibilityUSPTO patent issued in 2024 covering levosimendan uses/doses Canadian IP claims allowed; protection to 2040 Strengthened IP
Market opportunityLarge unmet need in PH-HFpEF; funding to execute Management frames ~$10B addressable market via prevalence Reinforced TAM narrative
Safety/MechanismPhase 2 HELP demonstrated wedge pressure reduction; transition to oral feasible No new safety signals reported; mechanistic rationale vs splanchnic approaches; avoids hypotension issues seen in ablation Consistent safety messaging

Management Commentary

  • “We remain in a strong position to execute and advance our lead program, TNX-103… we now anticipate completing enrollment in the first half of 2026… we remain on track to initiate our global Phase 3 study, LEVEL-2, this year.” — Chris Giordano, CEO .
  • “Together, both registrational studies are expected to satisfy the requirements, including safety data expectations, to file for approval in the U.S. and other geographies.” — Chris Giordano .
  • Clinical operations expansion: new heads of Clinical Operations, Data Management, Pharmacovigilance, and Quality Assurance joined to oversee execution .
  • Mechanism and differentiated approach: management emphasized wedge pressure reduction and splanchnic blood volume control, positioning levosimendan as a safer pharmaceutical alternative to permanent nerve ablation approaches (e.g., hypotension concerns in Rebalance HF) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Enrollment and timelines: Management guided to complete LEVEL enrollment in 1H 2026 and reaffirmed comfort with pace and OLE participation .
  • Blinded sample size reassessment: At ~150 completes, blinded SD assessment could trigger enrollment up to a pre-agreed cap; FDA alignment noted .
  • Mechanism and safety: HELP showed dramatic wedge pressure and right atrial pressure reductions without hypotension; oral dose selection aligned with IV weekly exposure .
  • LEVEL vs LEVEL-2 design: LEVEL 12-week 6MWD endpoint; LEVEL-2 26-week 6MWD with broader global population; power based on 25m treatment effect and 55m SD .
  • Market sizing and standard-of-care context: Large PH-HFpEF prevalence; expected SGLT2 uptake at centers; GLP-1 uptake lower in EU; centers must meet hemodynamic criteria .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 EPS came in at $(0.27) vs the S&P Global consensus of $(0.4475), a beat of $0.18 per share; estimate count: 4. Revenue consensus was $0.0 with no product revenue reported by the company . Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
MetricQ2 2025 ConsensusQ2 2025 Actual
EPS ($USD)$(0.4475)*$(0.27)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00*Not reported (development-stage)

Drivers for the EPS beat: larger interest income ($0.95M) on substantial cash balances helped offset higher R&D and G&A; non-cash stock-based compensation elevated OpEx but does not impact cash runway .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS beat vs consensus despite higher OpEx; interest income is a meaningful non-operational tailwind near term while trials progress .
  • Timeline slip for LEVEL (enrollment to 1H 2026, topline 2H 2026) is the primary negative surprise; monitor site activation and screen-to-randomization conversion .
  • LEVEL-2 remains on track for 2025 start with >85 qualified sites globally—execution in Europe/LatAm/Asia may diversify enrollment risk .
  • Cash runway through 2027 mitigates financing overhang during pivotal execution; non-cash stock comp inflates G&A but does not affect runway .
  • Clinical risk remains paramount; blinded sample size reassessment provides flexibility to maintain statistical power based on observed SDs .
  • IP strengthening (Canada allowed claims to 2040) supports long-term defensibility if efficacy is confirmed .
  • Near-term trading focus: narrative around enrollment pace, OLE participation, and any safety signals; medium-term thesis rests on 6MWD efficacy at 12/26 weeks and regulatory dialogue .

Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.